tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post7549337265812757768..comments2016-07-21T09:07:00.859-04:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Playoff Projections - Week 10Brian Burkenoreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-26265530232703658112012-11-10T02:31:09.498-05:002012-11-10T02:31:09.498-05:00If you had to guess...If you had to guess...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-66720790071748787182012-11-10T02:20:41.875-05:002012-11-10T02:20:41.875-05:00Brian, where do you put BAL's win probability ...Brian, where do you put BAL's win probability this week if both of OAK's top RBs are out?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-90939752609251299632012-11-09T22:53:31.044-05:002012-11-09T22:53:31.044-05:00@Mike, also, Dallas is a better team by Brian'...@Mike, also, Dallas is a better team by Brian's rankings, and they have the easier part of their schedule to come.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-28760059680196783822012-11-09T13:28:20.431-05:002012-11-09T13:28:20.431-05:00It looks like it's sorted by "first seed&...It looks like it's sorted by "first seed" probability. The rounding just masks the relative position.<br /><br />So, TB may have a 0.2% chance of getting the first seed, but DAL only has 0.1% (making the numbers up).<br /><br />Dallas doesn't have to catch an undefeated team like Tampa Bay does in order to win their division, so the overall playoff outlook is much rosier for the Cowboys.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-67879789474967214752012-11-09T13:17:56.940-05:002012-11-09T13:17:56.940-05:00Well Brian just put it in the same order it was al...Well Brian just put it in the same order it was already in on http://files.nfl-forecast.com/. <br /><br />I know in past weeks it was sorted like anonymous said, don't know what happened this week.ed315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-59283444633948392332012-11-09T13:11:40.064-05:002012-11-09T13:11:40.064-05:00"flex, I think it's sorted by 1st then 2n..."flex, I think it's sorted by 1st then 2nd then 3rd..."<br /><br />I thought that too, but that doesn't explain Dallas' position.flex727http://www.blogger.com/profile/17949806644122983236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-46050242258357412412012-11-09T13:03:47.426-05:002012-11-09T13:03:47.426-05:00Except Brian couldn't resist putting BLT above...Except Brian couldn't resist putting BLT above PIT...fair and balanced?tmknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-70316928508267089632012-11-09T13:00:03.301-05:002012-11-09T13:00:03.301-05:00Interesting how wide open the NFC still looks. Ev...Interesting how wide open the NFC still looks. Every team with at least a 1% chance of making the playoffs.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-56343591824353513402012-11-09T12:58:52.203-05:002012-11-09T12:58:52.203-05:00flex, I think it's sorted by 1st then 2nd then...flex, I think it's sorted by 1st then 2nd then 3rd...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-15250107676276733092012-11-09T12:39:38.228-05:002012-11-09T12:39:38.228-05:00How did you determine the order to list the teams ...How did you determine the order to list the teams in the playoff seeding? Shouldn't it be in order of Total Probability?flex727http://www.blogger.com/profile/17949806644122983236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-58623652628238627582012-11-09T11:19:56.806-05:002012-11-09T11:19:56.806-05:00Does this model just factor in straight win probab...Does this model just factor in straight win probability for each week? If so, the Colts are potentially underrated, as they play Houston in week 17 (when the Texans will probably have the #1 seed locked up and have their starters benched). The Bucs are potentially in the same boat, too, as they play at Atlanta (which I'm sure is a low WP game for them on paper) in the final week.Kosnoreply@blogger.com