West coast teams have a big advantage in night games. I think I buy the numbers here. Backed by a solid theory.
Do nice players make their team worse? Perhaps a lesson for teams looking at Richie Incognito next season.
Stat leader rewind at PFR. I think football stats (the trivia kind anyway) need to be put in context of the era, especially compared to baseball. This will help.
Are football player lifespans shorter because of football or simply due to weight (or maybe other lurking factors)?
There are only 11 minutes of action in a 3 hour football game. And there are over 100 commercials.
Who are the best deep passers?
An article by Harvard's Nieman Journalism Lab on the brave new world of the 4th Down Bot. (It's a good thing I didn't show them this.)
I'd also like to take this opportunity to call out the call-out from that article: "The model and the bot are starting points for analysis. It's not meant to be the final arbiter of coaching decisions." I understand some of the negative reaction to Riverboat ROM (as podcast host Dave Collins nicknamed it). It's undeniable that in-game decisions aren't really as cut-and-dry as the Bot makes it seem. We tried to make that clear up front, in its introduction at NYT and here at ANS. Besides, we all have instant opinions for 4th downs when watching games as fans. It's not the worst thing in the world for those opinions to be informed by what the numbers suggest.
Sports Illustrated looks at last Saturday's big decisions in the Alabama-Auburn and Ohio State-Michigan games using (a modified) WP Calculator. For the record I disagree with the article's analysis of Alabama's long FG.
The impact of home field/court/ice advantage on officiating. Interesting, but keep in mind that teams may perform relatively poorly because of being on the road, and that in turn translates into additional penalties. To the credit of the article, it mentions that possibility.
And how do NFL officiating crews compare when it comes to the number and types of penalties called. I'm sure there are real differences between crews, but remember that much of the differences are likely due to sample error and the actual incidence of penalties committed.
Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims. And from xkcd. How true?
Very cool visualization of NCAA conference realignment since 1965 from the NY Times graphics editor and 4th Down Bot creator Kevin Quealy.
From the well-titled website Quirky Research, a list of every OT game in which the team that won the coin toss chose to kick off and its result. Just keep in mind most of these are from another era. Still, this season teams that did that are undefeated!
NFL team stats and graphs. How can you not like that?
This is a bit dated already, but I wanted to highlight Jason's excellent analysis on McCarthy's 4th down decision in OT a couple weeks back. Bonus, here's Jason on Mike Smith's late game FG when down 4.