Division Round Game Probabilities

Weekly game probabilities are available now at the nytimes.com Fifth Down. Again, this week I share some statistical tidbits on all four of the match-ups.

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5 Responses to “Division Round Game Probabilities”

  1. Anonymous says:

    The nine percentage point swing (52-43) using the Yates numbers seems pretty big. Is that just using the Texans numbers since Yates was the starter?

  2. Brian Burke says:

    It's the entire team's stats except the passing stats, which are exclusively Yates'.

  3. Ryan says:

    Do you take into account the homefield advantage effect in the playoffs?


  4. Tom says:

    Must've been one of few people who had the 49ers as clear favourites.

  5. Anonymous says:

    Ryan -- are you serious? That blog you linked looked at a grand total of 17 past playoff games to conclude what is the true playoff HFA. It could not be any less statistically sound.

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