Live Tournament Win Probability

Don't be caught watching the games on your computer at work. Watch the WP graphs instead. You're supposed to be looking at things like graphs anyway!

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4 Responses to “Live Tournament Win Probability”

  1. Zach says:

    What's with the straight lines in graphs? In the Temple/Arizona graph, there looked to be an exact linear pattern over the course of about 15 minutes (halftime to five minutes left).

  2. Brian Burke says:

    My program hung and I wasn't around to notice it or fix it. Should be good now. Sorry.

  3. Anonymous says:

    great info brian...i like how you start out each game at 50 instead of say 65 if a home team is favored by 5 points...

    1. any chance you can do the remaining nit games?
    2. i know you menioned nba as well...after the ncaa tourney if it is not much trouble it would be nice to have these...

  4. Brian Burke says:

    Actually, there's no adjustment for team strength. Everything is generic. The games start at 50 because in the overwhelming number of cases, the games are played at neutral sites.

    I can do NIT games, but I'm not committing to NBA yet. I'd like to get back into football stuff. We're coming up on the draft.

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