Playoff Probabilities Week 15

Courtesy of Chris at NFL-Forecast.com, here are the latest playoff probabilities for each team.

These are calculated using the NFL-Forecast software mini-app that runs thousands of simulated seasons. The outcomes are based on game-by-game probabilities with every crazy tie-breaking scenario factored in. Chris has used the probabilities from Advanced NFL Stats as his default game probabilities for the past two seasons.

There are two tables below. The first lists the probability that each team will finish in each place in their division. The second table lists the overall playoff probabilities, broken down by seed.






















































AFC EAST
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
MIA5619250
NE955360
NYJ3526390
BUF000100
AFC NORTH
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
PIT100000
BAL010000
CLE007822
CIN002278
AFC SOUTH
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
TEN100000
IND010000
HOU00982
JAX00298
AFC WEST
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
DEN901000
SD109000
OAK00937
KC00793
NFC EAST
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NYG100000
DAL0504110
PHI0504010
WAS002080
NFC NORTH
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
MIN841600
CHI168400
GB001000
DET000100
NFC SOUTH
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
CAR801280
TB1149410
ATL1039520
NO000100
NFC WEST
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
ARI100000
SF09820
SEA02971
STL00199













































AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
TEN52480000100
PIT48520000100
IND000092799
DEN002880090
BAL000067076
MIA005600258
NYJ003320540
NE009021627
SD000100010
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
NYG50446000100
ARI00118900100
CAR50272010999
MIN0865110084
ATL01000302969
TB01100312365
DAL0000231841
PHI000062026
CHI001600016

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