Week 12 Efficiency Rankings

NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 12. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.





































RankTEAMLast WkGWPOpp GWPO RankD Rank
1NE10.910.5413
2IND30.860.5461
3DAL20.850.5025
4TB40.770.4847
5PIT50.710.42152
6GB70.690.48511
7JAX80.670.53319
8SEA60.630.381112
9PHI120.600.55720
10SD100.600.54139
11NYG90.570.53178
12WAS110.570.59206
13MIN150.560.511213
14DEN130.540.51827
15TEN140.490.52274
16HOU160.480.471624
17CLE170.460.49929
18MIA230.420.561921
19BUF190.410.591818
20CIN200.400.501031
21KC210.400.502610
22ATL220.390.502217
23ARI180.390.422115
24NYJ270.370.562330
25NO280.370.481432
26BAL240.350.422814
27DET260.330.492416
28CAR250.300.502523
29OAK310.250.452925
30STL290.250.463122
31CHI300.230.523028
32SF320.180.453226

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