Game Predictions Week 13

Game probabilities for week 13 NFL games are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength.




















VprobVisitorHomeHprob
0.23GBDAL0.77
0.59ATLSTL0.41
0.27BUFWAS*0.73
0.22DETMIN0.78
0.40HOUTEN0.60
0.19JAXIND0.81
0.37NYJMIA0.63
0.61SDKC0.39
0.44SEAPHI0.56
0.27SFCAR0.73
0.81TBNO0.19
0.49CLEARI0.51
0.72DENOAK0.28
0.77NYGCHI0.23
0.16CINPIT0.84
0.93NEBAL0.07

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