Game Predictions Week 6

Game probabilities for week 6 are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength. The model now compensates for early-season instability in team efficiency stats to improve confidence levels.

















VprobVISITORHOMEHprob
0.58CINKC0.42
0.35HOUJAX0.65
0.52MIACLE0.48
0.67MINCHI0.33
0.72PHINYJ0.28
0.34STLBAL0.66
0.40TENTB0.60
0.62WASGB0.38
0.29CARARI0.71
0.59NEDAL0.41
0.36OAKSD0.64
0.18NOSEA0.82
0.77NYGATL0.23

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2 Responses to “Game Predictions Week 6”

  1. Borat says:

    I am a huge Ravens fan. I even named my daughter/niece Ray Billick.

    Still I'm very uncomfortable giving the Rams 32 points this week.

    High Five!

  2. DMax says:

    Very nice!

    NO with only an 18% projected to win?

    How the mighty have fallen! But my big gut tells me they are due for their first win and who better than the 'Hawks!

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